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    Ruling coalition would win the election if it were today

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    Poland’s ruling United Right coalition would win a parliamentary election on Sunday with 36.3 per cent of the vote, a recent survey by the Estymator pollster has shown.

    The main opposition grouping Civic Coalition (KO) would place second with 28.8 per cent backing, followed by the Left party with 10.3 per cent.

    Given these results The United Right, the backbone grouping of which is the conservative Law and Justice (PiS) party, would take 204 seats in the Sejm, the lower house of parliament, while KO, made up of the centrist Civic Platform (PO), the Greens, and the Polish Initiative party would secure a total of 145 seats and the Left, a grouping of the Democratic Left Alliance (SLD), the Spring (Wiosna) and Together (Razem) parties, would acquire 39 seats in the Sejm.

    Poland 2050 would receive 9.4 per cent support which would give the party 36 seats in the lower house whereas the Polish People’s Party (PSL) would take 19 seats and the right-wing Confederation (Konfederacja) party would take 16 seats, both with 6.7 per cent of the vote, Estymator said.

    Other parties would fall below the 5-per cent threshold needed to take seats in the Sejm.

    The estimated turnout for an election stood at 56 per cent.

    Estymator ran the survey on December 29-30 on a representative national sample of 1,022 adult Poles.


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