If I had to bet on the U.S. elections today, I would still place my bet on Trump. His rival, Kamala Harris, who received a huge boost at the start, has not gained enough of an advantage over the former president to have a secure support buffer. Soon, if nothing changes, she will start losing in the polls – writes Tomasz Sakiewicz in “Gazeta Polska”.
As in the last two elections, the so-called swing states, namely Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, will decide the victory or defeat.
Swing states are those where a small number of votes, on the order of tens of thousands, will determine the electoral votes from the entire state. I remind you that at least two of them are states where almost a million voters of Polish descent reside. Eight years ago, Trump won them over to his side by promising the abolition of visas for Poles, the presence of American troops, and assistance in clarifying the Smolensk attack. He fulfilled two of these promises 100 percent, and the third partially. Nevertheless, it helped him a lot back then. Does Trump have something similar to offer today? He does – it’s the issue of Poland’s participation in the nuclear program (even just sharing this weapon), amnesty for those Poles who arrived legally but worked illegally for many years and now want to become regular taxpayers, and the issue of double taxation of pensions. This will give him tens of thousands of votes from our compatriots, which may tip the scales of victory.
Regardless of the outcome in the USA, the world governed by left-wing elites is entering a period of decline. Ideology is beginning to lose out to hard reality. Ideas like opening borders to millions of illegal immigrants or burdening the economy with the ‘Green Deal’ have made Western civilization less financially and security-wise efficient. Today, necessary reforms will either be forced by changes in power or left-wing elites themselves will hit the brakes to try to maintain their current status. Changes are already happening in the distribution of media power. The triumph of Elon Musk in social media, the successes in the USA of two right-wing TV stations – Fox News and Newsmax – and in Poland, the unprecedented success of TV Republika and the troubles of liberal-left media (TVN is going under the hammer to save the Discovery group) show that the social communication market is changing just as voter moods are. This is only the beginning. Attempts at censorship, unfair competition, etc., by the left-wing elites, won’t change this. At most, it will further discredit the left. The world has reached a turning point on the eve of a major economic crisis and during growing threats of global war. Changes are coming, whether anyone wishes for them or not.