In the latest poll conducted by Opinia24 for Radio Zet, Law and Justice (PiS) came in just behind the Civic Coalition. That’s certainly not the kind of news Donald Tusk would want to hear—especially since it’s not the first time a poll has given him cause for concern.
What does Tusk have to say about this?
In the survey commissioned by Radio Zet, respondents were asked which party they would vote for if parliamentary elections were held this coming Sunday. The results were as follows:
- Civic Coalition – 30%
- Law and Justice (PiS) – 28%
- Confederation – 17%
- Third Way (Polska 2050 and PSL) – 8%
- New Left – 7%
- Razem – 4%
- Other party – 1%
- Don’t know / Hard to say – 5%
As we can see, there’s only a two-point difference between the two main political forces, which points to yet another drop in support for Tusk’s party.
What does it mean?
The nearly identical levels of support for the ruling party and the main opposition suggest that if parliamentary elections were held now, the outcome would be very difficult to predict. Or maybe not—if, hypothetically, Law and Justice were to form a coalition with Confederation, which secured third place with 17% support.
Meanwhile, Third Way—a coalition between Szymon Hołownia’s Polska 2050 and the Polish People’s Party (PSL)—would garner 8% of the vote, while the New Left would receive support from 7% of respondents.
It’s also worth noting that Third Way, classified in the poll as a coalition of two parties, is hovering right at the 8% electoral threshold required for coalitions to enter parliament.