Poland to Take in Four Times More Migrants Than Germany

Poland, under Donald Tusk’s leadership—who once declared, “No one in the EU can outplay me”—has effectively committed (formally referred to as the “reception and examination of applications”) to accepting 7,820 illegal migrants in a single year (2027). This figure is more than four times the number Germany is expected to admit.

These startling details concerning the Migration Pact and Poland’s role in it were disclosed by MEP Maciej Wąsik (PiS-ECR). On his social media profile, Wąsik highlighted several key points:

1. European Commission Decision: On August 5, 2024, the European Commission issued Implementing Decision 2024/1348 related to the EU Regulation on establishing a common procedure for international protection (part of the migration pact). This decision outlines each member state’s share of responsibility for asylum applications.
2. Poland’s 5.2% Share: Poland will be responsible for 5.2% of all future illegal migrants arriving in Europe.
3. Paradoxical Calculations: According to Wąsik, the Commission’s calculations mean that the more effectively a country has defended itself against illegal migration in the past (by issuing negative decisions), the larger its future share of responsibility becomes.
4. Burden on Four Countries: Italy, Hungary, Spain, and Poland will shoulder the highest quotas for future migrants—together accounting for nearly 70% of migrants in all of Europe. Among these four, Poland will have the smallest share, yet it remains significant.

The Commission optimistically estimates that between June 2026 and October 2027, around 150,000 people may be affected. During that period alone, Poland would be obligated to handle and process 7,820 new illegal migrants’ applications—until October 2027. After that, the Commission is expected to issue a new decision, presumably with revised (and potentially higher) quotas.

5. Germany’s Lower Numbers: Meanwhile, Germany will only have to process 1,870 applications over the same period—much fewer than Poland. Wąsik cites Tusk’s earlier statement: “No one in Europe can outplay me,” implying irony in how the quota numbers have been assigned.
6. Danish Exemption: Denmark is the only country not bound by this particular decision.
7. Future Allocations After Polish Elections: The implementing decision on relocating migrants already present in Europe will be issued on June 12, 2025, just after Poland’s elections. How many migrants might Poland be required to accept from Germany, France, or Belgium then? That question remains open.

The overarching concern is whether the EU has outplayed Tusk—or whether Tusk has outplayed his own voters. Unfortunately, the consequences of this “being outplayed” may fall on all Poles.