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Poland Under Siege: Lukashenko New Wave of Hybrid Warfare

Poland is once again under attack—not through conventional warfare, but by an insidious hybrid strategy orchestrated by Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko, with Moscow pulling the strings. The Polish Border Guard has reported a sharp rise in illegal border crossings, confirming that this so-called migration crisis is anything but accidental. Lukashenko has openly admitted that Belarus will not stop these crossings, viewing them as payback for Western sanctions. This is not a humanitarian issue—it is a direct assault on Poland’s national security.

A Repeat of the 2021 Border Crisis

This isn’t the first time Poland has faced this kind of aggression. In 2024 alone, authorities blocked over 30,000 illegal attempts to cross from Belarus. National security expert Stanisław Żaryn warns that these migration waves are being carefully orchestrated by Belarusian and Russian intelligence agencies. The recent lull in crossings was nothing more than a strategic pause while Lukashenko secured his grip on power. Now that his sham elections are over, he’s back to fueling chaos at Poland’s borders.

Read more: Poland Under Siege: Lukashenko New Wave of Hybrid Warfare

More Than Just a Migration Crisis

The threat doesn’t stop at the border. Russia and Belarus have ramped up military provocations, increasing border drills, violating airspace, and intensifying anti-Polish propaganda. With Poland’s presidential election on the horizon, the Kremlin is eager to stir unrest, using every tool at its disposal to weaken Poland from within. Moscow has a long history of using hybrid warfare to manipulate democratic processes, and Poland is now in its crosshairs.

Poland Must Take Action

This coordinated aggression is part of a broader campaign to destabilize Poland and, by extension, NATO’s eastern flank. The Polish government must act decisively—securing its borders, countering propaganda, and reinforcing its Western alliances. Turning a blind eye would be a dangerous mistake, as both Russia and Belarus have proven time and again that they will seize any opportunity to undermine Polish sovereignty.

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