The top of the leaderboard remains unchanged, with Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki leading the pack, although the gap between them has narrowed to a record low, according to the authors of the latest presidential poll conducted by the National Research Group. Right-wing candidates continue to dominate the podium.
The presidential campaign is entering its final stretch. With just three weeks to go before the first round of voting, the candidates’ positions remain unchanged, but there have been significant shifts in support.
According to the NRG survey, Rafał Trzaskowski is polling at 34.11% in the first round — a drop of 1.4 percentage points compared to the previous poll.
Karol Nawrocki remains in second place, with 30.76% support — an increase of 1.2 points compared to the previous survey.
As the pollsters note, this is the narrowest gap between the two leading candidates so far. Moreover, the survey was conducted between April 23–25, 2025, just before Nawrocki’s convention in Łódź on Thursday. This event is seen by many as crucial, as it featured current President Andrzej Duda, who gave his clear endorsement to the civic candidate.
Sławomir Mentzen holds third place with 14.32% support.
And the rest?
- Szymon Hołownia – 5.43%
- Magdalena Biejat – 3.72%
- Adrian Zandberg – 3.37%
- Grzegorz Braun – 3.25%
- Krzysztof Stanowski – 2.34%
- Marek Jakubiak – 1.34%