The Civic Coalition (KO) is losing support, according to the latest poll conducted by IBRiS for Polsat. At the same time, a growing number of voters say they would support opposition parties.
KO Remains in the Lead Despite Slight Decline
If parliamentary elections were held last weekend, the Civic Coalition would still receive the largest share of the vote. Donald Tusk’s party is backed by 28 percent of respondents.
Compared to the previous survey conducted at the beginning of June, KO recorded a slight decline. At that time, the party enjoyed support of 29.3 percent.
Second place goes to the Law and Justice (PiS) party with 24.1 percent. This represents a modest increase from the previous poll, in which 23.7 percent of respondents said they would vote for Jarosław Kaczyński’s party.
The Confederation (Konfederacja) ranks third with 13.7 percent support, up slightly from 13.4 percent in the earlier survey. The poll also indicates that the Confederation of the Polish Crown (Konfederacja Korony Polskiej) would surpass the electoral threshold. Grzegorz Braun’s party can count on 9 percent of the vote, compared with 8 percent at the beginning of June.
The Left (Lewica) would also secure seats in parliament, receiving support from 8.2 percent of respondents. This is a marginal improvement over its previous result of 8.1 percent.
PSL and Poland 2050 Would Miss Out on Parliament
The remaining parties would fail to cross the electoral threshold. The Polish People’s Party (PSL) received 4.1 percent support, while the Together Party (Razem) was backed by 3.1 percent of respondents.
Poland 2050 posted an even weaker result, with just 0.8 percent declaring support for the party. The Centre party received 0.1 percent. Undecided voters accounted for 8.9 percent of those surveyed.
Turnout Estimated at 63 Percent
According to the poll, 63 percent of respondents say they intend to vote in the election. Men are more likely than women to declare they will cast a ballot, with turnout intentions standing at 64.6 percent and 61.5 percent, respectively.
The lowest level of voter mobilization is found among the youngest electorate. Among respondents aged 18 to 29, only 48.2 percent said they intend to vote. The highest declared turnout was recorded among those aged 70 and above, at 74.1 percent.
The survey was conducted between June 24 and 27, 2026, on a representative nationwide sample of 1,000 adult respondents. The poll used the CATI (Computer-Assisted Telephone Interviewing) methodology, based on standardized telephone interviews.