Despite losing power and certain “internal splits”, Law and Justice (PiS) still appears stable in the eyes of voters. Most Poles do not expect the party to fall apart. Interestingly, even staunch supporters of the government do not believe in its imminent end – according to the latest survey by United Surveys by IBRiS conducted for Wirtualna Polska (WP).
Breakup of PiS? Poles Assess the Chances
The latest United Surveys by IBRiS poll for Wirtualna Polska shows that most Poles do not expect a lasting breakup of Law and Justice (PiS) in 2026 – this view is shared by 69.3 percent of respondents.
Importantly, nearly one-third of them are completely certain in this assessment. Only a small group foresees the party’s collapse, with just 4 percent considering it very likely.
Tusk’s Voters Have No Doubts
An analysis of the results by voter groups shows that belief in the survival of Law and Justice (PiS) is shared by a majority of voters, including those from the opposition.
Among supporters of the governing coalition, 57 percent believe the party will not fall apart, while only 12 percent are certain of its end.
This conviction is even stronger among opposition voters – 79 percent reject the breakup scenario, with more than half doing so decisively.
In the group of other voters, a majority also does not predict the end of PiS, although as many as 20 percent are unable to assess the situation.
The poll was conducted by United Surveys by IBRiS on behalf of Wirtualna Polska (WP). The survey was carried out on December 19-21, 2025, using a mixed CATI (telephone interviews) and CAWI (online questionnaires) methodology, on a sample of N=1000 respondents.