The presidential SEJF 0% has gained significant public support in a very short time. Roughly the same number of Poles backed the EU’s SAFE program. The Nationwide Research Group presented its latest findings and also released the results of a parliamentary poll.
“Which of the solutions for financing arms purchases do you think would be more beneficial for Poland?” – this was the question posed to Poles surveyed by the Nationwide Research Group.
The EU SAFE program was chosen by 43 percent of respondents, while 42.2 percent supported the presidential SEJF 0%. Łukasz Pawłowski from OGB pointed out that the proposal from the office of Karol Nawrocki had been presented for a much shorter time.
“I don’t know / hard to say” was the response given by 14.8 percent of those surveyed.
The breakdown by age groups shows that, unlike the EU proposal, the presidential project is clearly preferred by Poles aged 18-39. Support for SEJF reached 47.2 percent, while SAFE received 34.8 percent. The head of OGB, presenting the results, noted that the presidential project also dominated on social media. Opinions were more evenly split among those aged 40-59. In this group, supporters of the government-preferred solution accounted for 43.2 percent, while just under 40 percent (39.6 percent) backed the arms financing model developed by the Chancellery of the President and the National Bank of Poland.
Every possible coalition leads to a deadlock
OGB also presented the results of a political preference survey conducted between March 11 and 16 this year. The roughly 10-percentage-point gap between the two largest parties remains consistent with most polls.
At the top was Civic Platform with 37.91 percent support (up 3.4 points), followed by Law and Justice (PiS) with 28.82 percent (up 1 point). Third place once again went to Confederation, which would receive 12.9 percent (down 1.5 points). It was followed by Confederation of the Polish Crown with 9.04 percent (up 0.1 point).
Also likely to enter parliament would be politicians from New Left, who received 5.3 percent support (down 0.6 points). Razem and Polish People’s Party (PSL) would each receive 2.3 percent of the vote, with both groups losing support compared to the previous poll. The party of Szymon Hołownia could count on 1.36 percent (down 1.5 points).
Pawłowski emphasized that the latest research shows that none of the leading parties would be able to form a majority government on their own, even in coalition with at least one of the parties that crossed the electoral threshold.