Civic Coalition (KO) remains in the lead with 33 percent support, followed by Law and Justice, while Confederation takes third place, according to the latest Social Changes poll. The survey shows that if elections were held this coming Sunday, turnout would be impressive, and six groups would enter the Sejm.
This is the first such situation in months. Until now, most polls had projected that five groups would be represented in the Polish parliament.
Confederation rounds out the top three, with 12 percent of respondents saying they would vote for it. Three other parties would also make it into the Sejm. The New Left received 8 percent in the latest poll, followed closely by Grzegorz Braun’s Confederation of the Polish Crown, backed by 7 percent of respondents.
The Razem Party also found itself right on the electoral threshold, entering the Sejm with 5 percent support. Poland 2050 and the Polish People’s Party remain outside parliament in the poll, each receiving 2 percent of the vote.
More than three quarters of surveyed Poles say they would take part in parliamentary elections. If the vote were held this coming Sunday, 76 percent of respondents would go to the polls. Meanwhile, 15 percent rule out taking part in the election. Ten percent say they would “definitely” not participate, while 5 percent say they “probably” would not.
The survey was conducted between June 5 and 9, 2026, using the CAWI method on an online panel, with a sample of 1,073 people.