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Poles Worried About the Country’s Direction: New Survey Reveals Growing Pessimism

In April, just as in March, every second Pole (50%) believes that the current situation in the country is heading in the wrong direction, while nearly one in three (29%) say it is moving in the right direction, according to a CBOS survey. One in five respondents (20%) remain undecided.

What Lies Ahead? Poles Are Not Optimistic

When asked about forecasts for the country’s situation over the next year, Poles most frequently responded that it would remain unchanged (34% — down 4 percentage points from March) or that it would worsen (31% — up 2 points). Almost a quarter (23% — up 2 points) believe the situation will improve, while one in eight respondents (12% — up 1 point) said they found it difficult to say.

Almost half of those surveyed (47%) view the political situation negatively — a deterioration of 6 percentage points compared to March. Meanwhile, 34% (down 4 points) rate it as neither good nor bad, and 15% (unchanged since March) consider it good. Only 5% have no opinion on the matter, a slight decrease of 1 point.

Expectations regarding changes in the political situation have remained relatively stable: the largest share of respondents believes the situation will stay the same (39% — compared to 40% last month), 24% think it will worsen (the same as in March), and 23% believe it will improve (down 1 point). One in seven respondents (14%) have no formed opinion on this issue, mirroring last month’s figures.

When it comes to the country’s economic situation, 39% of respondents describe it as “neither good nor bad” — a 3-point drop compared to March. The proportion of those rating it as bad increased (33% compared to 26% in March), while positive assessments fell (24% compared to 29% a month earlier). Four percent of respondents still found it difficult to answer.

Looking ahead, 38% believe the economic situation will remain unchanged over the next year (a decrease of 5 points), while 29% — an increase of 6 points — think it will deteriorate. Meanwhile, 20% expect it to improve (compared to 22% in March). About one in eight respondents (13%) remain undecided (a slight increase from March).

The survey was conducted between April 3 and 13 on a representative, named sample of 1,030 adult residents of Poland, randomly selected from the PESEL register. The research used a mixed-method approach: 62.3% through direct interviews with an interviewer (CAPI), 23.6% via telephone interviews (CATI), and 14.1% through online questionnaires (CAWI).

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