If a general election were held next Sunday, Civic Coalition (KO) would emerge victorious. Donald Tusk’s party, however, has suffered a clear drop in support compared with the previous poll. Meanwhile, parties lower down the ranking have gained ground, Onet reports, citing the latest survey conducted by Opinia24.
Civic Coalition tops the poll with 31.3 percent support. This is, however, 2.8 percentage points less than in the previous survey. Law and Justice (PiS) is in second place, with 22.8 percent of Poles saying they would vote for the party. This represents a decline of 1.4 percentage points compared with the polling firm’s previous survey. Confederation ranks third with 13.4 percent support, up 0.8 percentage points.
The Left came fourth, with 9.2 percent of respondents declaring their support for the party. It recorded the largest increase of all the parties surveyed, gaining as much as 1.7 percentage points. Grzegorz Braun’s Confederation of the Polish Crown would also enter the Sejm, with 8 percent support, an increase of 0.5 percentage points.
The Together Party remains below the electoral threshold, with 3 percent of respondents saying they would vote for it, down 0.2 percentage points. Poland 2050 and the Polish People’s Party (PSL) would also fail to enter the Sejm, receiving 1.7 percent and 1.6 percent respectively. Their support fell by 0.1 and 1.1 percentage points.
A total of 0.9 percent of respondents selected “another party,” 0.5 percentage points fewer than previously. Meanwhile, 8.1 percent of Poles said they did not know which party they would vote for, an increase of 3.1 percentage points.
The Opinia24 survey was conducted between July 6 and 8, 2026, using a mixed methodology combining computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) and computer-assisted web interviews (CAWI). The poll was carried out among a representative sample of 1,000 adult Poles.